
The U.N has predicted that the population could rise to 1.5 billion in the next 40 years, and has warned that serious investment into drainage, irrigation and agricultural systems is a necessity, if nations want to curb starvation and a serious food crisis.
With some putting the increasing difficulty of the cultivation of land in Asia down to climate change, it is being argued that the potential crisis is not just the result of a lack of technology.
That said, history gives the world a particularly pertinent case study; Pakistan, India and China, the world’s emerging superpowers, have survived food crises in the past because they invested massively in irrigation systems 30 years ago.
The U.N, then, are arguing that the same is needed now across the continent. The Director General of the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Colin Chartres, highlighted the risks and the solutions, in no uncertain terms, stating that,
“There is no new land or water to develop so we have to make more use of what we have. Existing irrigation systems are often 50 to 70 years old. They are leaking and water is evaporating. We urgently need a new generation of irrigation. That is the only way we are going to feed everyone…if we don’t we will see food crises like the one in 2007 repeated over and again. That was an early warning. If nothing is done, you are going to get an increase in social unrest, migration and a fertile ground for terrorism”
Asia represents an outstandingly high proportion of the world’s total population, so a food crisis there, and the human effects of such a crisis, would truly represent a global catastrophe.
The possibilities do not look promising, and as Chartes further stated,
“The agriculture of tomorrow will need a lot more water. Given that one litre of water is used to produce one calorie of food, the world will need up to 6,000 cubic kilometres of additional water every year to feed another 2.5 billion people 2,500 calories per day”
Such a massive task will require the commitments of a truly global community, and the UN target set for a 70% increase on food production in developed countries will have to go alongside a culture of co-operation, if it is to benefit those in the most need.
Posted under Articles, Environmental News
This post was written by Chris Woolfrey on August 17, 2009
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